Want to bet on whether the U.S. will attack Iran? An increasing number of people are using Polymarket and similar online prediction markets to gamble on war and other geopolitical events. The payoffs can be thousands, even millions.
These platforms have grown in popularity since the 2024 U.S. presidential elections, which drew significant interest from geopolitical gamblers. Although most online bets are still placed on sports, Polymarket, Kalshi, and other prediction markets have wagers available for a wide range of subjects — from the Oscars to Spotify charts and the potential for another U.S. government shutdown.
